Monday, 20 October 2008 17:30
The question while analysing worldwide finance crise is, could it have been forecasted early? ScMI says like every scenario planner would: Exactly forecasting is not possible but thinking
ahead possible consequences was. ScMI refers to scenarios of the future of global financial markets which were developed 2002/2003 within a project of the European academy of science and arts (EASA). During this process six possible future developments resulted. They discribed:
- Scenario I: The corporate world - Industrialised states dominate and promote the economic development using the global financial market
- Scenario II: Freedom that is none - The escalation of the location competition between regions leads to the division of the industrialised countries
- Scenario III: The flood lifts all boats - International organisations secure free movement of capital and provide equal participation in growth
- Scenario IV: Parallel worlds – The global civil society as reinsurance of the deregulated and unstable markets
- Scenario V: Sustainable growth – The global regulation of the financial markets secures long-term growth
- Scenario VI: Deglobalisation - Slowdown of the global economy due to a new work culture
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