Publications

Recommended literature


Shaping the future


  • Bazermann, Max H. / Watkins, Michael D.: Predictable Surprises - The Disasters you should have seen coming and how to prevent them. Harvard Business School Press, Cambridge, 2004
  • Hodgson, Philip / White, Randall P.:Relax it's only uncertainty - Lead the way when the way is changing. Prentice Education, Edinburgh / London, 2001
  • Holman, Peggy / Devane, Tom (Hrsg.): Change Handbook - Group Methods for Shaping the Future, Berrett-Koehler Publishers, San Francisco, 1999
  • Liebl, Franz: Der Schock des Neuen - Entstehung und Management von Issues und Trends. Gerling Akademie, München, 2000 (only in German)
  • Morrison, Ian: Second Curve - How to command new technologies, new consumers and new markets. Ballantine Books, New York, 1997
  • Postrel, Virginia I.: The Future and Its Enemies: - The Growing Conflict Over Creativity, Enterprise and Progress. Free Press, 1999
  • Sommerlatte, Tom (Hrsg.): Angewandte Systemforschung - Ein interdisziplinärer Ansatz. Gabler, Wiesbaden, 2002 (only in German)
  • Vester Frederic: Die Kunst vernetzt zu denken: Ideen und Werkzeuge für einen neuen Umgang mit Komplexität, Stuttgart, 1999 (only in German)
  • Wind, Yoram Jerry / Crook, Colin: The Power of Impossible Thinking - Transform the Business of your Life and the Life of your Business. Wharton School Publishing, Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, 2005
  • Zohar, Danah: Rewiring the Corporate Brain: Using the New Science to Rethink How We Structure and Lead Organizations, Berrett-Koehler, San Francisco, 1997


Scenarios

  • Fahey, Liam / Randall, Rober M. (edit.): Learning from the future - Competitive foresight scenarios, Wiley, Chichester, 1998
  • Gilad, Ben: Early Warning - Using Competitive Intelligence to Anticipate Market Shifts, Control, Risk and Create Powerful Strategies. Amacom, New York, 2004
  • Lindgren Mats / Bandhold, Hand: Scenario Planning - The link between future and strategy. Palgrave Macmillian, Houndmills, 2003
  • Reibnitz, Ute von: Scenario Techniques, McGraw-Hill, New York, 1989
  • Ringland, Gill: Scenarios in Business. Wiley, Chichester, 2002 und
  • Ringland, Gill: Scenarios in Public Policy. Wiley. Chichester, 2002
  • Schoemaker, Paul J.H.: Profiting from Uncertainty - Strategies for Succeeding No Matter What the Future Brings, The Free Press, New York, 2002
  • Ogilvy, James A.: Creating Better Futures - Scenario Planning as a Tool for a Better Tomorrow. Oxford University Press, New York, 2002
  • Schwartz, Peter: The Art of the Long View - Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World. Currency Doubleday, New York, 1991
  • Van der Heijden, Kees: Scenarios - The Art of Strategic Conversation. Wiley, Chichester, 1996
  • Van der Heijden, Kees / Bradfield, Ron / Burt, George / Cairns, George / Wright, George: The Sixth Sense - Accelerating Organizational Learning with Scenarios. Wiley, Chichester, 2002


Strategy development

  • Baghai, Mehrdad / Coley, Stephen / White, David: The Alchemy of Growth - Practical Insights for Building the Enduring Enterprise. Perseus Books, Philadelphia, 1999
  • Black, J. Stewart / Gregersen, Hal B.: Leading Strategic Change - Breaking Through the Brain Barrierer. Financial Times Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, 2002
  • De Geus, Arie: The Living Company - Harvard Business School Press, 1997
  • Foster, Richard / Kaplan, Sarah: Creative Deconstruction: Why Companies That Are Built to Last Underperform the Market - And How to Successfully Transform Them. Currency, New York, 2001
  • Hamel, Gary: Leading the Revolution. Plume Books, London, 2002
  • Heuskel, Dieter: Competition Unlimited. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, 2001
  • Jennings, Jason / Haughton, Laurence: It's Not the Big That Eat the Small...It's the Fast That Eat the Slow: How to Use Speed as a Competitive Tool in Business. Collins, New York, 2002
  • Mitroff, Ian: Smart Thinking for Crazy Times - The Art of Solving the Right Problems. Berrett-Koehler, San Francisco, 1998
  • Müller-Stewens, Günter / Lechner, Christoph: Strategy Process - Shaping the contours of the Field. Blackwell Publishing Ltd., Oxford, 2003
  • Wood, Robin: Managing Complexity - How businesses can adapt and prosper in the connected economy. Profile Books, London, 2000


Future trends

  • Dahrendorf, Ralf: The Modern Social Conflict: An Essay on the Politics of Liberty. University of California Pr, 1990
  • De Soto, Hernando: The Mystery of Capital: Why Capitalism Triumphs in the West and Fails Everywhere Else. Basic Books, 2003
  • Emmott, Bill: 20:21 Vision Penguin Books Ltd., 2004
  • Eschenbach, Andreas: Das Buch von der Zukunft - Ein Reiseführer. Rowohlt, Berlin 2004 (only in German)Litaer, Bernard A.: The Future of Money: Creating New Wealth, Work and a Wiser World. Century, 2002
  • Horx, Matthias: How We Will Live: A Synthesis of Life in the Future. Cyan Books, London, 2006
  • Kaku, Michio: Visions: How Science Will Revolutionize the 21st century. Anchor Books, 1998
  • Layard, Richard: Happiness Lessons from a New Science. Penguin Press, 2005
  • Naisbitt, John: Mind Set! Reset Your Thinking and See the Future. HarperCollins, New York, 2006
  • Steinmüller, Angela / Steinmüller, Karlheinz: Wild Cards - Wenn das Unwahrscheinliche eintritt. Gerling Akademie, München, 2003 (only in German)
  • Wacker, Watts / Taylor, Jim / Means, Howard: The 500-year Delta: What Happens After What Comes Next. Capstone Publishing Ltd., 1997