Scenario Management International (ScMI) is a joint stock company dedicated to shaping the future and supporting strategic business management since 1998. As a specialist for scenario management we support companies and organizations in the development of future knowledge, the target-orientated development of scenarios, as well as the deduction of visionary strategies and business models. Additionally, we support our clients throughout the implementation and change process, inviting innovative and future orientated thinking.
What comes after COVID19?
There is much talk of the "new normality". But what could it look like? To this end, ScMI has outlined eight possible futures in an open scenario process. None of these scenarios can be excluded today. Nevertheless, we are looking for orientation. Therefore we offer you to participate in our online scenario assessment
Post-Corona-Scenarios - Results from our online scenario process
What consequences does the crisis have for society, the economy and politics? Nationalization or cooperation? Solidarity or individualism? Old or new normality? 80 experts joined us in thinking ahead to possible post-corona scenarios. In an open online process. Use the results to make your strategy future-proof.
Preparing for the post-corona period
The uncertainty is tangible. At present, we cannot even predict what the coming weeks and months will look like - and yet decisions have to be taken with implications going far beyond the current corona crisis. It is therefore not surprising that the trend curve of the term "scenario" is pointing steeply upwards. But right now the following applies: Talk to the experts when it comes to your future. ScMI helps you to navigate strategically even if the uncertainty has increased again.
The future of Urban Mobility 2040
How we will live and work in an increasingly urban world depends crucially on how our mobility systems develop. Answers must be viewed in a broader context, because new energy and mobility systems, mobility services as well as AI and autonomous transport have to be viewed together.
Scenarios and Perspectives for AI-based Work Environments
Artificial intelligence is one of the most frequently discussed topics in politics, business and the media. The focus is often on its effects on employment and work environments. In a scenario report prepared jointly with foresightlab for Fraunhofer-IAO, six scenarios were developed and evaluated by a group of experts: What developments could happen? Which ones are expected? And what is desirable?
How BMW Motorrad explores the Future Bike Business
The global motorcycle markets are changing. As part of its "Strategy 2030", BMW Motorrad therefore asked itself what changes can be expected and how changes in market segments and market environments can be continuously monitored. Read more about this in a german working paper - or rely on our award-winning presentation.
ScMI: 20 years of successful Strategic Foresight
17 December 1998: ScMI Scenario Management International is founded by 21 shareholders at the Heinz Nixdorf MuseumsForum in Paderborn. Since then, we look with our customers to the future. And especially concerning this date, we make an exception and look back in the past of 20 years successful and insightful scenario-management.
The Future of the domestic Furniture Industry 2030
How do we live in the future? Which role does furniture play, how is it produced and brought to market? How do digitalization as well as global competition impact the domestic furniture industry? As part of a joint project, the furniture companies Germania, Pelipal, Sachsenküchen, Schoeller, Egger and Hettich created together with ScMI scenarios for the future of the domestic furniture industry.
Germany 2030 – A map of the future
Taking a look in the media, you get the feeling that Germany is climbing from crisis to crisis - it is driving by sight, often without a common goal. What is missing are pictures of possible futures worth living in. How will life be like in Germany in the year 2030? The initiative D2030 developed in a non-party open-source process a map of the future. The basis for this are eight scenarios, in the development of which ScMI AG was intensively involved as a methodical partner.
What will we eat in 2030? - Eight futures for the food industry
Regional diversity or global disruption? Digitalisation or craftsmanship? Or all of this together? Together with the Competence Centre for Nutrition (KErn) and a panel of 17 experts, the ScMI developed scenarios for the future of the food industry and evaluated them during "the future days Lebensmittel" in Kulmbach.
"Scenario-Management has the potential to become a standard work "
How are scenarios created and interpreted? And how can robust strategies be built on that basis? The comprehensive handbook of ScMI’s board members Alexander Fink and Andreas Siebe provides answers to these questions. Not only Management Journal appreciates this educational yet descritpive standard work which in addition includes lots of practical examples as well as helpful tips.
Frontex-scenarios for migration, Europe and its external borders
The refugee crisis is still a main topic in Europe. Many eyes are now turned on Frontex, the European Agency for the Management of Operational Cooperation at the External Borders of the Member States of the European Union. Its new „Risk Analysis 2016“ includes for the first time a long-term foresight-chapter with seven scenarios, which have been worked out by an interdisciplinary team with the help of ScMI.
Seven scenarios for the future of Africa
The current Africa is diverse: High growth and significant tranformation steps parallel to growing corruption and a bundle of „failed states“. And the future of Africa? It is even more uncertain. This is why ScMI has developed seven scenarios for the future of Africa. A new and special scenario assessment gives additional answers on the question, where these future image could be seen today.